Die Schule der Quoten

Melbourne Victory v Macarthur FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-15 08:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Melbourne Victory (Heim)

Prognose 47.89%2.09faire Quote
EV -1.34%
Vorteil -0.650%
Kelly -1.26%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.06

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.02%47.78%47.93%51.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.751.911.912.0657.14%52.38%52.36%48.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Macarthur FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.60%3.62faire Quote
EV +6.25%
Vorteil +1.62%
Kelly +2.19%
Wachstum +0.137%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.69%27.66%27.56%29.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.463.423.8533.33%28.89%29.20%25.97%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.51%4.08faire Quote
EV -1.96%
Vorteil -0.490%
Kelly -0.653%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.06%24.56%24.51%25.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.253.813.804.0030.77%26.25%26.32%25.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -11.40%E -6.16%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV +6.25%E +1.62%K +2.19%G +0.137%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 07:45
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 07:45
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -12.83%E -7.05%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -16.19%E -9.25%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV +0.727%E +0.199%K +0.274%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 07:45
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -16.19%E -9.25%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV +0.727%E +0.199%K +0.274%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 07:45
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 49.86%EV -9.48%E -5.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.40%EV -1.48%E -0.415%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.74%EV -2.69%E -0.679%K -0.907%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 07:35
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.03%E -0.572%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 07:25
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.03%E -0.572%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.74%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 07:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.46%EV -2.30%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -4.24%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV -3.67%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 07:35
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 07:45
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 07:45
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 07:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 07:55
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 07:55
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 07:55
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.00%E -4.74%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Coolbet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.60%EV -1.34%E -0.650%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 07:50
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 07:55
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 07:45
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:45
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -9.96%E -5.30%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 07:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 07:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.00%E -4.74%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:40
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 07:55
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:55
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -13.79%E -7.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -12.83%E -7.05%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.07%E -4.15%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 07:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -17.21%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -20.34%E -6.26%K -9.04%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-15 07:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-03-15 07:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.0%2026-03-15 07:55