مدرسة الاحتمالات

Melbourne Victory v Macarthur FC

البداية: 2026-03-15 08:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Melbourne Victory (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.89%2.09السعر العادل
EV -1.34%
الأفضلية -0.650%
Kelly -1.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.02%47.78%47.93%51.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.911.912.0657.14%52.38%52.36%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Macarthur FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.60%3.62السعر العادل
EV +6.25%
الأفضلية +1.62%
Kelly +2.19%
النمو +0.137%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.69%27.66%27.56%29.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.463.423.8533.33%28.89%29.20%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.51%4.08السعر العادل
EV -1.96%
الأفضلية -0.490%
Kelly -0.653%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.06%24.56%24.51%25.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.813.804.0030.77%26.25%26.32%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -11.40%E -6.16%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV +6.25%E +1.62%K +2.19%G +0.137%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 07:45
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 07:45
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -12.83%E -7.05%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -16.19%E -9.25%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV +0.727%E +0.199%K +0.274%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 07:45
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -16.19%E -9.25%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV +0.727%E +0.199%K +0.274%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 07:45
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 49.86%EV -9.48%E -5.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.40%EV -1.48%E -0.415%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.74%EV -2.69%E -0.679%K -0.907%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 07:35
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.03%E -0.572%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 07:25
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.03%E -0.572%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.74%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 07:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.46%EV -2.30%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -4.24%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV -3.67%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 07:35
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 07:45
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 07:45
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 07:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 07:55
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 07:55
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 07:55
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.00%E -4.74%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Coolbet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.60%EV -1.34%E -0.650%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 07:50
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 07:55
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 07:45
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:45
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -9.96%E -5.30%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 07:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 07:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:55
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.00%E -4.74%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:40
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 07:55
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 07:55
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -13.79%E -7.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 07:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -12.83%E -7.05%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.07%E -4.15%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 07:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -17.21%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -20.34%E -6.26%K -9.04%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-15 07:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 07:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-03-15 07:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.0%2026-03-15 07:55