L’École des cotesFrançais
Melbourne Victory v Macarthur FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Prévision 47.89%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.650%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.02%47.78%47.93%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.911.912.0657.14%52.38%52.36%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Macarthur FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.60%3.62cote équitable
EV +6.25%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.137%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.69%27.66%27.56%29.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.463.423.8533.33%28.89%29.20%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.51%4.08cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.490%
Kelly -0.653%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.06%24.56%24.51%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.813.804.0030.77%26.25%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -11.40%E -6.16%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV +6.25%E +1.62%K +2.19%G +0.137% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -12.83%E -7.05%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -16.19%E -9.25%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV +0.727%E +0.199%K +0.274%G +0.002% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -16.19%E -9.25%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV +0.727%E +0.199%K +0.274%G +0.002% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| GTbets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.86%EV -9.48%E -5.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.40%EV -1.48%E -0.415%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.74%EV -2.69%E -0.679%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.03%E -0.572%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.03%E -0.572%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.74%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.46%EV -2.30%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -4.24%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV -3.67%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| BetUS | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.00%E -4.74%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.60%EV -1.34%E -0.650%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 07:50 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -9.96%E -5.30%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.00%E -4.74%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 07:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -13.79%E -7.66%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -12.83%E -7.05%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.07%E -4.15%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -17.21%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -20.34%E -6.26%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 1.7% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |