La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Melbourne Victory v Macarthur FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Predicción 47.89%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.650%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.02%47.78%47.93%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.911.912.0657.14%52.38%52.36%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Macarthur FC (Visitante)
Predicción 27.60%3.62momio equitativo
EV +6.25%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +2.19%
Crecimiento +0.137%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.69%27.66%27.56%29.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.423.8533.33%28.89%29.20%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.51%4.08momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.490%
Kelly -0.653%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.06%24.56%24.51%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.813.804.0030.77%26.25%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -11.40%E -6.16%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV +6.25%E +1.62%K +2.19%G +0.137% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -12.83%E -7.05%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV +4.87%E +1.28%K +1.74%G +0.085% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -13.31%E -7.36%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -16.19%E -9.25%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV +0.727%E +0.199%K +0.274%G +0.002% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -16.19%E -9.25%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV +0.727%E +0.199%K +0.274%G +0.002% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| GTbets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.86%EV -9.48%E -5.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.40%EV -1.48%E -0.415%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.74%EV -2.69%E -0.679%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.03%E -0.572%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.03%E -0.572%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.74%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 07:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.46%EV -2.30%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -4.24%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV -3.67%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| BetUS | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.00%E -4.74%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.60%EV -1.34%E -0.650%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 07:50 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.09%E -3.65%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -9.96%E -5.30%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.00%E -4.74%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 07:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -13.79%E -7.66%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-15 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -12.83%E -7.05%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.07%E -4.15%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -12.36%E -6.75%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -17.21%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -20.34%E -6.26%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 1.7% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |