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Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Melbourne Victory (Хозяева)
Прогноз 58.77%1.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.86%
Преимущество -1.11%
Kelly -2.77%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.67
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.72%58.73%58.80%59.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.591.601.6766.67%62.94%62.50%59.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Adelaide United (Гости)
Прогноз 19.82%5.05справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.695%
Преимущество -0.139%
Kelly -0.173%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.01
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.03%19.87%19.82%21.20%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.644.605.0123.81%21.57%21.74%19.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.41%4.67справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.446%
Преимущество -0.096%
Kelly -0.122%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.75%21.39%21.38%23.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.324.334.6527.78%23.16%23.09%21.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Melbourne Victory (Хозяева): 58.77%; Adelaide United (Гости): 19.82%; Ничья: 21.41%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.67. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.65, математическое ожидание — -0.446%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.53%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.59%EV -4.73%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.43%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.22%EV -0.695%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.35%EV -3.44%E -0.763%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -0.446%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -0.446%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.67%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.72%EV -5.06%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.61%EV -6.44%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.36%EV -3.87%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.88%E -0.587%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.30%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.30%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.67%E -7.02%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.41%EV -10.67%E -7.02%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -16.75%E -3.99%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.01%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -14.77%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.72%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.65%EV -14.17%E -3.27%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.63%EV -22.93%E -6.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.23% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89% | 1.9% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |