L’École des cotes

Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 08:37 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Melbourne Victory (Local)

Prévision 58.77%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.72%58.73%58.80%59.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.601.6766.67%62.94%62.50%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Adelaide United (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.82%5.05cote équitable
EV -0.695%
Avantage -0.139%
Kelly -0.173%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.03%19.87%19.82%21.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.644.605.0123.81%21.57%21.74%19.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.41%4.67cote équitable
EV -0.446%
Avantage -0.096%
Kelly -0.122%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.75%21.39%21.38%23.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.324.334.6527.78%23.16%23.09%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.53%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.59%EV -4.73%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 08:34
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 08:35
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.43%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.22%EV -0.695%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.35%EV -3.44%E -0.763%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 08:34
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 08:34
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 08:34
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -0.446%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 08:35
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -0.446%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 08:34
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.67%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.72%EV -5.06%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.61%EV -6.44%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 08:34
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 08:34
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 08:34
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:35
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 08:35
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:35
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 08:35
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 08:35
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:35
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 08:34
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 08:35
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.36%EV -3.87%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:34
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 08:34
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 08:35
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 08:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 08:35
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.88%E -0.587%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.30%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 08:35
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.30%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 08:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 08:34
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 08:35
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.67%E -7.02%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 08:34
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.41%EV -10.67%E -7.02%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -16.75%E -3.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-27 08:34
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.01%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -14.77%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-27 08:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.72%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.65%EV -14.17%E -3.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.63%EV -22.93%E -6.37%K -8.82%G +0.000%17.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.23%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%1.9%2026-02-27 08:35