La scuola delle quote

Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United

Inizio: 2026-02-27 08:37 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Melbourne Victory (Casa)

Previsione 58.77%1.70quota equa
EV -1.86%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.72%58.73%58.80%59.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.591.601.6766.67%62.94%62.50%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Adelaide United (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.82%5.05quota equa
EV -0.695%
Vantaggio -0.139%
Kelly -0.173%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.03%19.87%19.82%21.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.644.605.0123.81%21.57%21.74%19.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.41%4.67quota equa
EV -0.446%
Vantaggio -0.096%
Kelly -0.122%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.75%21.39%21.38%23.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.324.334.6527.78%23.16%23.09%21.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.53%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.59%EV -4.73%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 08:34
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 08:35
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.43%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.22%EV -0.695%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.35%EV -3.44%E -0.763%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 08:34
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 08:34
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 08:34
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -0.446%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 08:35
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -0.446%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 08:34
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.67%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.72%EV -5.06%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.61%EV -6.44%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 08:34
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 08:34
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 08:34
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:35
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 08:35
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:35
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 08:35
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 08:35
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:35
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 08:34
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 08:35
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.36%EV -3.87%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:34
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 08:34
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 08:35
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 08:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 08:35
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.88%E -0.587%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.30%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 08:35
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.30%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 08:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 08:34
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 08:35
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.67%E -7.02%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 08:34
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.41%EV -10.67%E -7.02%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -16.75%E -3.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-27 08:34
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.01%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -14.77%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-27 08:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.72%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.65%EV -14.17%E -3.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.63%EV -22.93%E -6.37%K -8.82%G +0.000%17.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.23%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%1.9%2026-02-27 08:35