La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Predicción 58.77%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.72%58.73%58.80%59.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6766.67%62.94%62.50%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adelaide United (Visitante)
Predicción 19.82%5.05momio equitativo
EV -0.695%
Ventaja -0.139%
Kelly -0.173%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.03%19.87%19.82%21.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.644.605.0123.81%21.57%21.74%19.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.41%4.67momio equitativo
EV -0.446%
Ventaja -0.096%
Kelly -0.122%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.75%21.39%21.38%23.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.324.334.6527.78%23.16%23.09%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.53%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.59%EV -4.73%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.43%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.22%EV -0.695%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.35%EV -3.44%E -0.763%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -0.446%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -0.446%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.67%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.72%EV -5.06%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.61%EV -6.44%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.36%EV -3.87%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.88%E -0.587%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.30%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.30%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.67%E -7.02%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.41%EV -10.67%E -7.02%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -16.75%E -3.99%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.01%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -14.77%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.72%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.65%EV -14.17%E -3.27%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.63%EV -22.93%E -6.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.23% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89% | 1.9% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |