مدرسة الاحتمالات

Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United

البداية: 2026-02-27 08:37 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Melbourne Victory (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.77%1.70السعر العادل
EV -1.86%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -2.77%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.72%58.73%58.80%59.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.591.601.6766.67%62.94%62.50%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Adelaide United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.82%5.05السعر العادل
EV -0.695%
الأفضلية -0.139%
Kelly -0.173%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.03%19.87%19.82%21.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.644.605.0123.81%21.57%21.74%19.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.41%4.67السعر العادل
EV -0.446%
الأفضلية -0.096%
Kelly -0.122%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.75%21.39%21.38%23.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.324.334.6527.78%23.16%23.09%21.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.53%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.59%EV -4.73%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 08:34
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 08:35
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.43%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.22%EV -0.695%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.35%EV -3.44%E -0.763%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 08:34
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.98%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 08:34
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 08:34
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -0.446%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 08:35
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -0.446%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 08:34
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.67%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.72%EV -5.06%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.61%EV -6.44%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 08:34
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 08:34
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 08:34
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:35
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 08:35
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:35
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 08:35
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.84%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 08:35
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:35
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:35
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -0.893%E -0.179%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 08:34
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 08:35
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.56%E -4.12%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.36%EV -3.87%E -0.797%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.87%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 08:34
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 08:34
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 08:35
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 08:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.66%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 08:35
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.88%E -0.587%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.30%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 08:35
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.85%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 08:34
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.30%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 08:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.82%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 08:34
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 08:34
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.79%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 08:35
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.67%E -7.02%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.80%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 08:34
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.41%EV -10.67%E -7.02%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -16.75%E -3.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-27 08:34
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.01%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -14.77%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-27 08:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.72%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.65%EV -14.17%E -3.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.63%EV -22.93%E -6.37%K -8.82%G +0.000%17.5%2026-02-27 08:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-02-27 08:35
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.23%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%1.9%2026-02-27 08:35