Школа коэффициентов

Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix FC

Начало: 2026-04-12 05:02 UTC

Итог: Melbourne City 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

48 букмекерских контор (13 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Melbourne City (Хозяева)

Прогноз 52.68%1.90справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.55%
Преимущество -1.38%
Kelly -3.00%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.16%52.51%52.75%56.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.531.731.761.8565.36%57.69%56.82%54.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Wellington Phoenix FC (Гости)

Прогноз 23.30%4.29справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.84%
Преимущество +2.47%
Kelly +3.12%
Рост +0.369%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.55%23.37%23.25%24.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.144.014.8027.78%24.13%24.94%20.83%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 24.02%4.16справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.891%
Преимущество +0.212%
Kelly +0.278%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.01%24.11%24.01%26.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.813.804.2030.77%26.24%26.32%23.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.55%E -7.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +11.84%E +2.47%K +3.12%G +0.369%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.08%E -7.93%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -15.72%E -9.82%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV +7.18%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.143%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -15.72%E -9.82%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV +7.18%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.143%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -14.66%E -9.05%K -23.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 05:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -14.66%E -9.05%K -23.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.32%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.05%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -1.67%E -0.396%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.08%EV -3.67%E -0.916%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 04:59
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +0.891%E +0.212%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-12 05:00
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +0.891%E +0.212%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.71%E -0.670%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 04:59
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.51%EV -19.40%E -12.68%K -36.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 05:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 05:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 05:00
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.44%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -6.80%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 04:59
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.35%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.36%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.30%EV -3.19%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 05:00
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 05:00
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 04:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 05:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 05:00
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 04:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 05:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.40%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.32%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.76%EV -10.97%E -6.49%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 04:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -21.93%E -6.75%K -9.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 05:00
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.30%EV -9.39%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 05:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-12 05:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-04-12 05:00