مدرسة الاحتمالات

Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix FC

البداية: 2026-04-12 05:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Melbourne City 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Melbourne City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.68%1.90السعر العادل
EV -2.55%
الأفضلية -1.38%
Kelly -3.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.16%52.51%52.75%56.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.731.761.8565.36%57.69%56.82%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Wellington Phoenix FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.30%4.29السعر العادل
EV +11.84%
الأفضلية +2.47%
Kelly +3.12%
النمو +0.369%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.55%23.37%23.25%24.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.144.014.8027.78%24.13%24.94%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.02%4.16السعر العادل
EV +0.891%
الأفضلية +0.212%
Kelly +0.278%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.01%24.11%24.01%26.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.813.804.2030.77%26.24%26.32%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.55%E -7.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +11.84%E +2.47%K +3.12%G +0.369%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.08%E -7.93%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -15.72%E -9.82%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV +7.18%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.143%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -15.72%E -9.82%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV +7.18%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.143%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -14.66%E -9.05%K -23.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 05:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -14.66%E -9.05%K -23.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.32%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.05%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -1.67%E -0.396%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.08%EV -3.67%E -0.916%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 04:59
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +0.891%E +0.212%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-12 05:00
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +0.891%E +0.212%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.71%E -0.670%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 04:59
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.51%EV -19.40%E -12.68%K -36.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 05:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 05:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 05:00
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.44%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -6.80%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 04:59
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.35%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.36%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.30%EV -3.19%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 05:00
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 05:00
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 04:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 05:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 05:00
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 04:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 05:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.40%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.32%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.76%EV -10.97%E -6.49%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 04:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -21.93%E -6.75%K -9.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 05:00
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.30%EV -9.39%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 05:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-12 05:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-04-12 05:00