La scuola delle quote

Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix FC

Inizio: 2026-04-12 05:02 UTC

Finale: Melbourne City 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Melbourne City (Casa)

Previsione 52.68%1.90quota equa
EV -2.55%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.16%52.51%52.75%56.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.731.761.8565.36%57.69%56.82%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wellington Phoenix FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.30%4.29quota equa
EV +11.84%
Vantaggio +2.47%
Kelly +3.12%
Crescita +0.369%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.55%23.37%23.25%24.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.144.014.8027.78%24.13%24.94%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.02%4.16quota equa
EV +0.891%
Vantaggio +0.212%
Kelly +0.278%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.01%24.11%24.01%26.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.813.804.2030.77%26.24%26.32%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.55%E -7.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +11.84%E +2.47%K +3.12%G +0.369%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.08%E -7.93%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -15.72%E -9.82%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV +7.18%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.143%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -15.72%E -9.82%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV +7.18%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.143%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -14.66%E -9.05%K -23.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 05:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -14.66%E -9.05%K -23.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.32%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.05%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -1.67%E -0.396%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.08%EV -3.67%E -0.916%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 04:59
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +0.891%E +0.212%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-12 05:00
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +0.891%E +0.212%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.71%E -0.670%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 04:59
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.51%EV -19.40%E -12.68%K -36.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 05:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 05:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 05:00
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.44%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -6.80%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 04:59
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.35%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.36%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.30%EV -3.19%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 05:00
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 05:00
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 04:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 05:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 05:00
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 04:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 05:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.40%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.32%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.76%EV -10.97%E -6.49%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 04:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -21.93%E -6.75%K -9.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 05:00
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.30%EV -9.39%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 05:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-12 05:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-04-12 05:00