L’École des cotes

Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 05:02 UTC

Score final : Melbourne City 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Melbourne City (Local)

Prévision 52.68%1.90cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.16%52.51%52.75%56.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.731.761.8565.36%57.69%56.82%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wellington Phoenix FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.30%4.29cote équitable
EV +11.84%
Avantage +2.47%
Kelly +3.12%
Croissance +0.369%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.55%23.37%23.25%24.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.144.014.8027.78%24.13%24.94%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.02%4.16cote équitable
EV +0.891%
Avantage +0.212%
Kelly +0.278%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.01%24.11%24.01%26.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.813.804.2030.77%26.24%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.55%E -7.56%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +11.84%E +2.47%K +3.12%G +0.369%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.08%E -7.93%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 05:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -15.72%E -9.82%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV +7.18%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.143%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -15.72%E -9.82%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV +7.18%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.143%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 05:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -14.66%E -9.05%K -23.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 05:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -14.66%E -9.05%K -23.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.32%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.05%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -1.67%E -0.396%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.08%EV -3.67%E -0.916%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 04:59
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +0.891%E +0.212%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-12 05:00
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +0.891%E +0.212%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.71%E -0.670%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 04:59
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.51%EV -19.40%E -12.68%K -36.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-12 05:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 05:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 05:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 05:00
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.44%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -6.80%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 04:59
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.35%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.36%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.30%EV -3.19%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:59
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 05:00
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 05:00
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 04:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 05:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 04:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 05:00
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 05:00
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:59
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 04:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 05:00
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 05:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.40%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.32%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 05:00
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.76%EV -10.97%E -6.49%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 04:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -21.93%E -6.75%K -9.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 05:00
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.30%EV -9.39%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 05:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-12 05:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-04-12 05:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-04-12 05:00