La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Melbourne City (Local)
Predicción 52.68%1.90momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.16%52.51%52.75%56.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.731.761.8565.36%57.69%56.82%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wellington Phoenix FC (Visitante)
Predicción 23.30%4.29momio equitativo
EV +11.84%
Ventaja +2.47%
Kelly +3.12%
Crecimiento +0.369%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.55%23.37%23.25%24.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.144.014.8027.78%24.13%24.94%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.02%4.16momio equitativo
EV +0.891%
Ventaja +0.212%
Kelly +0.278%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.01%24.11%24.01%26.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.813.804.2030.77%26.24%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.55%E -7.56%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +11.84%E +2.47%K +3.12%G +0.369% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.08%E -7.93%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV +10.68%E +2.25%K +2.85%G +0.304% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -15.72%E -9.82%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV +7.18%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.143% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -15.72%E -9.82%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV +7.18%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.143% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -13.61%E -8.30%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -14.66%E -9.05%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -14.66%E -9.05%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.32%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.05%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -1.67%E -0.396%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.08%EV -3.67%E -0.916%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +0.891%E +0.212%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +0.891%E +0.212%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.71%E -0.670%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.51%EV -19.40%E -12.68%K -36.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.44%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -6.80%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.35%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.36%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.30%EV -3.19%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.96%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.72%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.91%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.40%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.32%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.76%EV -10.97%E -6.49%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 04:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -21.93%E -6.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.30%EV -9.39%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -13.52%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.81% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 05:00 |