Language:English
Auckland FC v Sydney FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Auckland FC (Local)
Prediction 38.90%2.57fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.18%38.95%38.86%41.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.352.382.5246.73%42.61%42.02%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sydney FC (Visit)
Prediction 29.86%3.35fair odd
EV +0.028%
Edge +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%29.78%29.94%31.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.153.3535.71%32.04%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.24%3.20fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +0.938%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%31.27%31.20%32.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.003.3036.36%33.03%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auckland FC (Local): 38.90%; Sydney FC (Visit): 29.86%; Draw: 31.24%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.27%EV -9.36%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV +3.10%E +0.938%K +1.35%G +0.042% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -1.47%E -0.444%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 07:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -7.03%E -2.94%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -1.17%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -3.78%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-23 07:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -1.17%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -3.78%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-23 07:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -1.97%E -0.783%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.06%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -4.09%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.20%E -6.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.20%E -6.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -6.84%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.65%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 07:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 07:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 07:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 07:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 07:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -16.76%E -7.83%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.19%EV -4.15%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.44%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 07:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 07:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 07:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-23 07:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-23 07:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -11.92%E -4.04%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.39%E -5.86%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -14.09%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 1.4% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.1% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.1% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |