A Escola das Odds

Auckland FC v Sydney FC

Início: 2026-05-23 08:10 UTC

Final: Auckland FC 1–0 Sydney FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Auckland FC (Local)

Previsão 38.90%2.57odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -0.783%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.18%38.95%38.86%41.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.142.352.382.5246.73%42.61%42.02%39.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sydney FC (Visitante)

Previsão 29.86%3.35odd justa
EV +0.028%
Vantagem +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.60%29.78%29.94%31.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.123.153.3535.71%32.04%31.75%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.24%3.20odd justa
EV +3.10%
Vantagem +0.938%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescimento +0.042%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.09%31.27%31.20%32.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.033.003.3036.36%33.03%33.33%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.27%EV -9.36%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV +3.10%E +0.938%K +1.35%G +0.042%4.0%2026-05-23 07:19
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:19
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:20
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -1.47%E -0.444%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 07:40
Coolbet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -7.03%E -2.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 07:39
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -1.17%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -3.78%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 07:29
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -1.17%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -3.78%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 07:30
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -1.97%E -0.783%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.06%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -4.09%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 07:59
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 07:19
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.20%E -6.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 07:19
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.20%E -6.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -6.84%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.65%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 07:59
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 07:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 07:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 07:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 07:29
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 07:29
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 07:59
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 07:38
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 07:19
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -16.76%E -7.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-23 07:19
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.19%EV -4.15%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.44%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 07:39
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 08:00
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 07:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 07:40
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 07:58
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 07:39
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 07:19
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 07:50
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 07:59
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 07:59
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 07:59
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 07:49
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 07:40
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -11.92%E -4.04%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 07:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.39%E -5.86%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -14.09%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-23 07:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-05-23 07:59
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%1.4%2026-05-23 07:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%1.6%2026-05-23 07:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%1.6%2026-05-23 07:59
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-05-23 07:59
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.1%2026-05-23 07:59