مدرسة الاحتمالات

Auckland FC v Sydney FC

البداية: 2026-05-23 08:10 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Auckland FC 1–0 Sydney FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (10 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Auckland FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.90%2.57السعر العادل
EV -1.97%
الأفضلية -0.783%
Kelly -1.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.18%38.95%38.86%41.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.142.352.382.5246.73%42.61%42.02%39.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sydney FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.86%3.35السعر العادل
EV +0.028%
الأفضلية +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.60%29.78%29.94%31.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.123.153.3535.71%32.04%31.75%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.24%3.20السعر العادل
EV +3.10%
الأفضلية +0.938%
Kelly +1.35%
النمو +0.042%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.09%31.27%31.20%32.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.033.003.3036.36%33.03%33.33%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.27%EV -9.36%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV +3.10%E +0.938%K +1.35%G +0.042%4.0%2026-05-23 07:19
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:19
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:20
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -1.47%E -0.444%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 07:40
Coolbet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -7.03%E -2.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 07:39
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -1.17%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -3.78%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 07:29
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -1.17%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -3.78%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 07:30
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -1.97%E -0.783%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.06%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -4.09%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 07:59
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 07:19
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.20%E -6.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 07:19
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.20%E -6.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -6.84%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.65%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 07:59
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 07:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 07:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 07:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 07:29
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 07:29
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 07:59
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 07:38
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 07:19
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -16.76%E -7.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-23 07:19
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.19%EV -4.15%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.44%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 07:39
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 08:00
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 07:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 07:40
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 07:58
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 07:39
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 07:19
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 07:50
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 07:59
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 07:59
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 07:59
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 07:49
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 07:40
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -11.92%E -4.04%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 07:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.39%E -5.86%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -14.09%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-23 07:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-05-23 07:59
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%1.4%2026-05-23 07:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%1.6%2026-05-23 07:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%1.6%2026-05-23 07:59
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-05-23 07:59
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.1%2026-05-23 07:59