La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Auckland FC v Sydney FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Auckland FC (Local)
Predicción 38.90%2.57momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.783%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.18%38.95%38.86%41.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.352.382.5246.73%42.61%42.02%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sydney FC (Visitante)
Predicción 29.86%3.35momio equitativo
EV +0.028%
Ventaja +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%29.78%29.94%31.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.153.3535.71%32.04%31.75%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.24%3.20momio equitativo
EV +3.10%
Ventaja +0.938%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.09%31.27%31.20%32.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.033.003.3036.36%33.03%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.27%EV -9.36%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV +3.10%E +0.938%K +1.35%G +0.042% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| BetUS | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -1.47%E -0.444%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 07:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -7.03%E -2.94%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -1.17%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -3.78%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-23 07:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -1.17%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -3.78%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-23 07:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -1.97%E -0.783%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.06%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -4.09%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.20%E -6.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.20%E -6.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -6.84%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.65%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 07:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 07:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 07:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 07:29 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 07:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -16.76%E -7.83%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| GTbets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.19%EV -4.15%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.44%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 07:39 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 08:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 07:40 |
| Bovada | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 07:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 07:39 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 07:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 07:50 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-23 07:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-23 07:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -11.92%E -4.04%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.39%E -5.86%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -14.09%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-23 07:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 1.4% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.1% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.1% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |