L’École des cotes

Auckland FC v Sydney FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 08:10 UTC

Score final : Auckland FC 1–0 Sydney FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Auckland FC (Local)

Prévision 38.90%2.57cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.783%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.18%38.95%38.86%41.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.352.382.5246.73%42.61%42.02%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sydney FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.86%3.35cote équitable
EV +0.028%
Avantage +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.60%29.78%29.94%31.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.153.3535.71%32.04%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.24%3.20cote équitable
EV +3.10%
Avantage +0.938%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.09%31.27%31.20%32.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.003.3036.36%33.03%33.33%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.27%EV -9.36%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV +3.10%E +0.938%K +1.35%G +0.042%4.0%2026-05-23 07:19
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:19
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.31%E -4.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:20
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.027%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:19
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -1.47%E -0.444%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 07:40
Coolbet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -7.03%E -2.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 07:39
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -1.17%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -3.78%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 07:29
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -1.17%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -3.78%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 07:30
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -1.97%E -0.783%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.06%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -4.09%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 07:59
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 07:19
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.20%E -6.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 07:19
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.20%E -6.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 07:19
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -6.84%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.65%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 07:59
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 07:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 07:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 07:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 07:29
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 07:29
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 07:59
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 07:38
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 07:19
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -16.76%E -7.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-23 07:19
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.19%EV -4.15%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.44%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 07:39
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 08:00
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 07:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 07:40
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 07:58
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 07:39
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 07:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 07:19
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 07:50
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 07:59
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 07:59
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 07:59
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 07:49
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.48%E -5.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 07:40
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -11.92%E -4.04%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 07:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.39%E -5.86%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -14.09%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-23 07:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-05-23 07:59
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%1.4%2026-05-23 07:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%1.6%2026-05-23 07:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%1.6%2026-05-23 07:59
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-05-23 07:59
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.1%2026-05-23 07:59