A Escola das Odds

Velez Sarsfield BA v Lanus

Início: 2026-03-21 18:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)

Previsão 41.34%2.42odd justa
EV -2.86%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -2.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.81%41.41%41.35%44.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.222.252.3550.00%45.12%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lanus (Visitante)

Previsão 26.76%3.74odd justa
EV +0.878%
Vantagem +0.233%
Kelly +0.317%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.19%26.70%26.82%28.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.473.503.7732.26%28.79%28.57%26.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.91%3.13odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.353%
Kelly -0.520%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.43%31.89%31.84%33.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.892.903.1040.00%34.60%34.48%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.67%EV +0.878%E +0.233%K +0.317%G +0.003%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.14%EV -6.84%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 18:25
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 18:20
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:14
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:14
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 18:24
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:25
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -14.43%E -6.97%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:14
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -14.43%E -6.97%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:14
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.26%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 18:23
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:24
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.58%E -2.91%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.18%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -15.67%E -7.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 18:14
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 18:20
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:19
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:05
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:24
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:24
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 18:24
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 18:18
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 18:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:05
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:22
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 18:09
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 18:24
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:09
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 18:05
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 18:07
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 18:09
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -17.33%E -8.66%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -20.24%E -8.09%K -13.49%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-21 18:24
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -12.26%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 18:20
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 18:19
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 18:14
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.71%E -4.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.09%E -6.12%K -9.87%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-21 18:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-03-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14%1.2%2026-03-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14%1.2%2026-03-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14%1.2%2026-03-21 18:25
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%1.9%2026-03-21 18:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.96%2.5%2026-03-21 18:25