Die Schule der Quoten

Velez Sarsfield BA v Lanus

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-21 18:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

38 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Heim)

Prognose 41.34%2.42faire Quote
EV -2.86%
Vorteil -1.22%
Kelly -2.12%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.81%41.41%41.35%44.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.222.252.3550.00%45.12%44.44%42.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Lanus (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.76%3.74faire Quote
EV +0.878%
Vorteil +0.233%
Kelly +0.317%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.19%26.70%26.82%28.61%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.473.503.7732.26%28.79%28.57%26.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 31.91%3.13faire Quote
EV -1.09%
Vorteil -0.353%
Kelly -0.520%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.43%31.89%31.84%33.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.502.892.903.1040.00%34.60%34.48%32.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (38 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.67%EV +0.878%E +0.233%K +0.317%G +0.003%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.14%EV -6.84%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 18:25
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 18:20
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:14
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:14
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 18:24
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:25
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -14.43%E -6.97%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:14
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -14.43%E -6.97%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:14
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.26%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 18:23
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:24
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.58%E -2.91%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.18%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -15.67%E -7.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 18:14
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 18:20
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:19
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:05
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:24
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:24
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 18:24
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 18:18
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 18:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:05
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:22
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 18:09
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 18:24
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:09
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 18:05
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 18:07
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 18:09
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -17.33%E -8.66%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -20.24%E -8.09%K -13.49%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-21 18:24
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -12.26%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 18:20
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 18:19
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 18:14
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.71%E -4.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.09%E -6.12%K -9.87%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-21 18:24
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-03-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14%1.2%2026-03-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14%1.2%2026-03-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14%1.2%2026-03-21 18:25
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%1.9%2026-03-21 18:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.96%2.5%2026-03-21 18:25