L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Velez Sarsfield BA v Lanus
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Prévision 41.34%2.42cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.81%41.41%41.35%44.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.222.252.3550.00%45.12%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lanus (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.76%3.74cote équitable
EV +0.878%
Avantage +0.233%
Kelly +0.317%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.19%26.70%26.82%28.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.7732.26%28.79%28.57%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.91%3.13cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.520%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.43%31.89%31.84%33.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.892.903.1040.00%34.60%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.67%EV +0.878%E +0.233%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.14%EV -6.84%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -14.43%E -6.97%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -14.43%E -6.97%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.26%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 18:23 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.58%E -2.91%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.18%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -15.67%E -7.68%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 18:18 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:22 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 18:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 18:07 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 18:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -17.33%E -8.66%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -20.24%E -8.09%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -12.26%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.71%E -4.99%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.09%E -6.12%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39% | 1.9% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.96% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |