مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Velez Sarsfield BA v Lanus
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Velez Sarsfield BA (المضيف)
التنبؤ 41.34%2.42السعر العادل
EV -2.86%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -2.12%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.81%41.41%41.35%44.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.222.252.3550.00%45.12%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Lanus (الضيف)
التنبؤ 26.76%3.74السعر العادل
EV +0.878%
الأفضلية +0.233%
Kelly +0.317%
النمو +0.003%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.77
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.19%26.70%26.82%28.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.473.503.7732.26%28.79%28.57%26.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.91%3.13السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.353%
Kelly -0.520%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.43%31.89%31.84%33.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.892.903.1040.00%34.60%34.48%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.67%EV +0.878%E +0.233%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.14%EV -6.84%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -14.43%E -6.97%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -14.43%E -6.97%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.26%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 18:23 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.58%E -2.91%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.18%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -15.67%E -7.68%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 18:18 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:22 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 18:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 18:07 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 18:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -17.33%E -8.66%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -20.24%E -8.09%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -12.26%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.71%E -4.99%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.09%E -6.12%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39% | 1.9% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.96% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |