La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Velez Sarsfield BA v Lanus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Predicción 41.34%2.42momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.81%41.41%41.35%44.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.252.3550.00%45.12%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lanus (Visitante)
Predicción 26.76%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.878%
Ventaja +0.233%
Kelly +0.317%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.19%26.70%26.82%28.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.473.503.7732.26%28.79%28.57%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.91%3.13momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.520%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.43%31.89%31.84%33.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.892.903.1040.00%34.60%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.67%EV +0.878%E +0.233%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.14%EV -6.84%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -5.75%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -14.43%E -6.97%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -14.43%E -6.97%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.26%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 18:23 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -6.58%E -2.91%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.18%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -15.67%E -7.68%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 18:18 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:22 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 18:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.11%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -5.88%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 18:07 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 18:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -17.33%E -8.66%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -20.24%E -8.09%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -12.26%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.71%E -4.99%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.07%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.09%E -6.12%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.14% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39% | 1.9% | 2026-03-21 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.96% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 18:25 |