預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Union Santa Fe v Lanus

開賽時間: 2026-08-06 22:00 UTC

最終賽果: Union Santa Fe 2–1 Lanus

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

38 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Union Santa Fe (主隊)

預測 36.36%2.75公平賠率
EV +7.25%
優勢 +2.46%
Kelly +3.72%
成長率 +0.270%

假設最高賠率為 2.95

博彩公司預測分布
32.55%36.61%36.40%40.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.282.522.502.9543.86%39.68%40.00%33.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Lanus (客隊)

預測 30.44%3.28公平賠率
EV +1.99%
優勢 +0.593%
Kelly +0.845%
成長率 +0.017%

假設最高賠率為 3.35

博彩公司預測分布
27.53%30.30%30.43%32.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.903.063.053.3534.48%32.65%32.79%29.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 33.20%3.01公平賠率
EV -2.72%
優勢 -0.929%
Kelly -1.41%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.93

博彩公司預測分布
31.65%33.08%33.17%34.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.622.812.802.9338.17%35.62%35.71%34.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Union Santa Fe (主隊):36.36%;Lanus (客隊):30.44%;和局:33.20%。 對於「Union Santa Fe (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.75的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.95,對應+7.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (38 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV +7.25%E +2.46%K +3.72%G +0.270%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.78%EV -10.80%E -3.69%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -8.03%E -2.90%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-06 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-06 21:55
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-06 21:55
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -1.84%E -0.681%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -3.19%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.72%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-06 21:56
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -2.57%E -0.957%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -2.57%E -0.957%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 21:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:54
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 21:55
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 21:50
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 21:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 21:55
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 21:44
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 21:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-06 21:50
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-06 21:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.97%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.64%EV -13.01%E -4.97%K -8.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-06 21:50
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.06%E -0.326%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -1.06%E -0.326%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-06 21:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-06 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-06 21:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 21:45
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-06 21:45
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -13.47%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -14.56%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-06 21:50
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV +1.99%E +0.593%K +0.845%G +0.017%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 21:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.34%EV -17.11%E -7.50%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -12.02%E -4.54%K -7.28%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-06 21:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50%0.2%2026-08-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50%0.2%2026-08-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50%0.2%2026-08-06 21:55
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41%0.4%2026-08-06 21:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-08-06 21:46