Idioma:Español
Union Santa Fe v Lanus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union Santa Fe (Local)
Predicción 36.36%2.75momio equitativo
EV +7.25%
Ventaja +2.46%
Kelly +3.72%
Crecimiento +0.270%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.55%36.61%36.40%40.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.522.502.9543.86%39.68%40.00%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lanus (Visitante)
Predicción 30.44%3.28momio equitativo
EV +1.99%
Ventaja +0.593%
Kelly +0.845%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.53%30.30%30.43%32.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.063.053.3534.48%32.65%32.79%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.20%3.01momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -0.929%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.65%33.08%33.17%34.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.622.812.802.9338.17%35.62%35.71%34.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Union Santa Fe (Local): 36.36%; Lanus (Visitante): 30.44%; Empate: 33.20%. Para Union Santa Fe (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.75. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.25%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV +7.25%E +2.46%K +3.72%G +0.270% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.78%EV -10.80%E -3.69%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -8.03%E -2.90%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -1.84%E -0.681%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -3.19%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.72%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 21:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -2.57%E -0.957%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -2.57%E -0.957%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.97%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.64%EV -13.01%E -4.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.06%E -0.326%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -1.06%E -0.326%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -13.47%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -14.56%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV +1.99%E +0.593%K +0.845%G +0.017% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-06 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.34%EV -17.11%E -7.50%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -12.02%E -4.54%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:46 |