语言:简体中文
Union Santa Fe v Lanus
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Union Santa Fe (主队)
预测 36.36%2.75公平赔率
EV +7.25%
优势 +2.46%
Kelly +3.72%
增长率 +0.270%
假设最高赔率为 2.95
博彩公司预测分布
32.55%36.61%36.40%40.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.282.522.502.9543.86%39.68%40.00%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lanus (客队)
预测 30.44%3.28公平赔率
EV +1.99%
优势 +0.593%
Kelly +0.845%
增长率 +0.017%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
27.53%30.30%30.43%32.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.063.053.3534.48%32.65%32.79%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 33.20%3.01公平赔率
EV -2.72%
优势 -0.929%
Kelly -1.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.93
博彩公司预测分布
31.65%33.08%33.17%34.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.622.812.802.9338.17%35.62%35.71%34.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Union Santa Fe (主队)：36.36%；Lanus (客队)：30.44%；平局：33.20%。 对于“Union Santa Fe (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.75。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.95，对应+7.25%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV +7.25%E +2.46%K +3.72%G +0.270% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.78%EV -10.80%E -3.69%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -8.03%E -2.90%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -1.84%E -0.681%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -3.19%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.72%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 21:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -2.57%E -0.957%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -2.57%E -0.957%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.97%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.64%EV -13.01%E -4.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.06%E -0.326%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -1.06%E -0.326%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -13.47%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -14.56%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV +1.99%E +0.593%K +0.845%G +0.017% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-06 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.34%EV -17.11%E -7.50%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -12.02%E -4.54%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:46 |