Langue:Français
Union Santa Fe v Lanus
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Union Santa Fe (Local)
Prévision 36.36%2.75cote équitable
EV +7.25%
Avantage +2.46%
Kelly +3.72%
Croissance +0.270%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.55%36.61%36.40%40.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.522.502.9543.86%39.68%40.00%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lanus (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.44%3.28cote équitable
EV +1.99%
Avantage +0.593%
Kelly +0.845%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.53%30.30%30.43%32.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.063.053.3534.48%32.65%32.79%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 33.20%3.01cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.929%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.65%33.08%33.17%34.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.812.802.9338.17%35.62%35.71%34.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Union Santa Fe (Local) : 36.36% ; Lanus (Visiteur) : 30.44% ; Match nul : 33.20%. Pour Union Santa Fe (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.75. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.95, soit une espérance positive de +7.25%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV +7.25%E +2.46%K +3.72%G +0.270% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.78%EV -10.80%E -3.69%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -8.03%E -2.90%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -7.76%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -2.72%E -0.929%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -1.84%E -0.681%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -3.19%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.72%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 21:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -2.57%E -0.957%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -2.57%E -0.957%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.97%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.64%EV -13.01%E -4.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.06%E -0.326%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -1.06%E -0.326%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.71%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -13.47%E -5.66%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -2.58%E -0.807%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -14.56%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV +1.99%E +0.593%K +0.845%G +0.017% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-06 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.34%EV -17.11%E -7.50%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -12.02%E -4.54%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:46 |