Language:English
Sarmiento de Junin v Estudiantes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Prediction 31.11%3.21fair odd
EV +5.16%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +2.17%
Growth +0.112%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.28%30.96%31.15%31.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.783.033.003.3835.97%33.04%33.33%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes (Visit)
Prediction 37.32%2.68fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.28%37.43%37.32%40.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.452.502.6045.45%40.87%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.57%3.17fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.38%31.61%31.53%33.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.923.1036.36%34.20%34.25%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sarmiento de Junin (Local): 31.11%; Estudiantes (Visit): 37.32%; Draw: 31.57%. For Sarmiento de Junin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV +5.16%E +1.53%K +2.17%G +0.112% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.29%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.68%E +0.811%K +1.16%G +0.031% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -13.05%E -5.60%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.68%E +0.811%K +1.16%G +0.031% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -13.05%E -5.60%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +1.12%E +0.345%K +0.498%G +0.006% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 17:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -16.78%E -7.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -16.78%E -7.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -17.90%E -8.14%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.24%EV -2.97%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.04%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -6.33%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 17:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.97%EV -13.50%E -4.86%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.28%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |