语言:简体中文
Sarmiento de Junin v Estudiantes
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sarmiento de Junin (主队)
预测 31.11%3.21公平赔率
EV +5.16%
优势 +1.53%
Kelly +2.17%
增长率 +0.112%
假设最高赔率为 3.38
博彩公司预测分布
28.28%30.96%31.15%31.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.783.033.003.3835.97%33.04%33.33%29.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
Estudiantes (客队)
预测 37.32%2.68公平赔率
EV -2.97%
优势 -1.14%
Kelly -1.86%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.60
博彩公司预测分布
36.28%37.43%37.32%40.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.452.502.6045.45%40.87%40.00%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.57%3.17公平赔率
EV -2.14%
优势 -0.691%
Kelly -1.02%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.38%31.61%31.53%33.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.922.923.1036.36%34.20%34.25%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sarmiento de Junin (主队)：31.11%；Estudiantes (客队)：37.32%；平局：31.57%。 对于“Sarmiento de Junin (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.21。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.38，对应+5.16%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV +5.16%E +1.53%K +2.17%G +0.112% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.29%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.68%E +0.811%K +1.16%G +0.031% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -13.05%E -5.60%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.68%E +0.811%K +1.16%G +0.031% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -13.05%E -5.60%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +1.12%E +0.345%K +0.498%G +0.006% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 17:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -16.78%E -7.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -16.78%E -7.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -17.90%E -8.14%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.24%EV -2.97%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.04%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -6.33%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 17:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.97%EV -13.50%E -4.86%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.28%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |