Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sarmiento de Junin v Estudiantes

Inizio: 2026-08-23 17:45 UTC

Finale: Sarmiento de Junin 2–0 Estudiantes

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sarmiento de Junin (Casa)

Previsione 31.11%3.21quota equa
EV +5.16%
Vantaggio +1.53%
Kelly +2.17%
Crescita +0.112%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.28%30.96%31.15%31.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.783.033.003.3835.97%33.04%33.33%29.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Estudiantes (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.32%2.68quota equa
EV -2.97%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.28%37.43%37.32%40.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.452.502.6045.45%40.87%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.57%3.17quota equa
EV -2.14%
Vantaggio -0.691%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.38%31.61%31.53%33.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.922.923.1036.36%34.20%34.25%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sarmiento de Junin (Casa): 31.11%; Estudiantes (Trasferta): 37.32%; Pareggio: 31.57%. Per Sarmiento de Junin (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.21. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.38, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.16%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV +5.16%E +1.53%K +2.17%G +0.112%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.29%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 17:40
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.68%E +0.811%K +1.16%G +0.031%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -13.05%E -5.60%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.68%E +0.811%K +1.16%G +0.031%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -13.05%E -5.60%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 17:14
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +1.12%E +0.345%K +0.498%G +0.006%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 17:19
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 17:24
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:33
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 17:24
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -16.78%E -7.52%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -16.78%E -7.52%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -17.90%E -8.14%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-23 17:14
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.24%EV -2.97%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 17:29
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.04%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -6.33%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 17:24
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 17:34
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 17:24
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 17:34
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 17:18
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 17:19
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 17:19
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 17:29
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 17:19
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 17:23
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 17:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 17:29
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-23 17:24
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 17:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 31.97%EV -13.50%E -4.86%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.28%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 17:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-23 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-23 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-23 17:40
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-08-23 17:29