Idioma:Español
Sarmiento de Junin v Estudiantes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Predicción 31.11%3.21momio equitativo
EV +5.16%
Ventaja +1.53%
Kelly +2.17%
Crecimiento +0.112%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.28%30.96%31.15%31.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.783.033.003.3835.97%33.04%33.33%29.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Estudiantes (Visitante)
Predicción 37.32%2.68momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.28%37.43%37.32%40.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.502.6045.45%40.87%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.57%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.691%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.38%31.61%31.53%33.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.922.923.1036.36%34.20%34.25%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sarmiento de Junin (Local): 31.11%; Estudiantes (Visitante): 37.32%; Empate: 31.57%. Para Sarmiento de Junin (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.21. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.16%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV +5.16%E +1.53%K +2.17%G +0.112% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.29%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.68%E +0.811%K +1.16%G +0.031% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -13.05%E -5.60%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.68%E +0.811%K +1.16%G +0.031% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -13.05%E -5.60%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +1.12%E +0.345%K +0.498%G +0.006% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 17:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -16.78%E -7.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -16.78%E -7.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -17.90%E -8.14%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.24%EV -2.97%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.04%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -6.33%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 17:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.97%EV -13.50%E -4.86%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.28%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |