Langue:Français
Sarmiento de Junin v Estudiantes
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Prévision 31.11%3.21cote équitable
EV +5.16%
Avantage +1.53%
Kelly +2.17%
Croissance +0.112%
avec la cote maximale 3.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.28%30.96%31.15%31.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.783.033.003.3835.97%33.04%33.33%29.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Estudiantes (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.32%2.68cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.28%37.43%37.32%40.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.452.502.6045.45%40.87%40.00%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.57%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.691%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.38%31.61%31.53%33.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.922.923.1036.36%34.20%34.25%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sarmiento de Junin (Local) : 31.11% ; Estudiantes (Visiteur) : 37.32% ; Match nul : 31.57%. Pour Sarmiento de Junin (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.21. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.38, soit une espérance positive de +5.16%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV +5.16%E +1.53%K +2.17%G +0.112% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.29%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.68%E +0.811%K +1.16%G +0.031% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -13.05%E -5.60%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.68%E +0.811%K +1.16%G +0.031% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -13.05%E -5.60%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +1.12%E +0.345%K +0.498%G +0.006% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 17:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -16.78%E -7.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -16.78%E -7.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -17.90%E -8.14%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-23 17:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.24%EV -2.97%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.04%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -6.33%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 17:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.97%EV -13.50%E -4.86%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.28%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |