The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Sarmiento de Junin v Atlético Huracán

2026-08-16 18:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sarmiento de Junin (Local)

Prediction 30.30%3.30fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%30.29%30.30%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.1335.71%33.39%33.33%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 35.84%2.79fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.48%35.83%35.84%36.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.552.6542.55%39.80%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.86%2.95fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.13%33.87%33.86%34.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.692.702.8339.22%37.22%37.04%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sarmiento de Junin (Local): 30.30%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 35.84%; Draw: 33.86%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.83, with an expected value of -4.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.13I 31.95%NM 30.34%EV -5.17%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.55%EV -4.16%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 22:24
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.87%E -2.50%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 22:18
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.18%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 23:09
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.57%E -3.17%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 19:05
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.16%EV -7.54%E -2.92%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.56%EV -5.86%E -2.11%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 22:25
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.87%E -2.50%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 19:05
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.87%E -2.50%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 19:05
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.41%E -4.16%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.27%E -4.30%K -6.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 19:04
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.53%E -3.95%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.68%EV -15.78%E -6.72%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -13.65%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -12.14%E -4.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -10.26%E -3.87%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 19:05
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.89%EV -12.14%E -4.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.12%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.99%EV -13.65%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 19:04
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.22%EV -13.65%E -4.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.65%EV -15.78%E -6.72%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.13%EV -11.95%E -4.60%K -7.47%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-02 19:05
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -15.17%E -5.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -12.20%E -4.98%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -11.95%E -4.60%K -7.47%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-02 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 19:55