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Sarmiento de Junin v Atlético Huracán
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Prediction 29.72%3.36fair odd
EV +0.151%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.064%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.68%29.87%29.71%32.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.093.103.3737.04%32.40%32.26%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético Huracán (Visit)
Prediction 37.10%2.70fair odd
EV +0.168%
Edge +0.062%
Kelly +0.099%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.40%37.05%37.09%38.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.7043.48%39.81%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.18%3.01fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -0.908%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%33.07%33.20%34.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.812.802.9638.02%35.59%35.71%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sarmiento de Junin (Local): 29.72%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 37.10%; Draw: 33.18%. For Atlético Huracán (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.695. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.700, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.168%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV +0.168%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV +0.168%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.30%E -5.37%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -1.69%E -0.636%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.44%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.39%EV -3.91%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.17%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.36%EV -2.82%E -0.863%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -18.27%E -6.65%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -18.27%E -6.65%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -19.76%E -7.32%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.40%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.28%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -6.14%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -12.33%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.67%EV -12.07%E -5.09%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.67%E -6.38%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
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