默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sarmiento de Junin v Atlético Huracán

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 18:00 UTC

最终结果: Sarmiento de Junin 2–0 Atlético Huracán

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sarmiento de Junin (主队)

预测 29.72%3.36公平赔率
EV +0.151%
优势 +0.045%
Kelly +0.064%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.37

博彩公司预测分布
28.68%29.87%29.71%32.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.703.093.103.3737.04%32.40%32.26%29.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlético Huracán (客队)

预测 37.10%2.70公平赔率
EV +0.168%
优势 +0.062%
Kelly +0.099%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
34.40%37.05%37.09%38.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.512.502.7043.48%39.81%40.00%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 33.18%3.01公平赔率
EV -1.78%
优势 -0.602%
Kelly -0.908%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.96

博彩公司预测分布
32.13%33.07%33.20%34.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.812.802.9638.02%35.59%35.71%33.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Sarmiento de Junin (主队):29.72%;Atlético Huracán (客队):37.10%;平局:33.18%。 对于“Atlético Huracán (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.695。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.700,对应+0.168%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV +0.168%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:55
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV +0.168%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.30%E -5.37%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -1.69%E -0.636%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 17:40
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 17:15
Pinnacle🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.44%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.39%EV -3.91%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.17%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 17:55
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.36%EV -2.82%E -0.863%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:50
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:40
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:49
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:49
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:50
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:49
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -18.27%E -6.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -18.27%E -6.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -19.76%E -7.32%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.40%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.28%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -6.14%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:45
BetAnything🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:50
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 17:39
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:49
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:44
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 17:49
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 17:55
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 17:54
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 17:50
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -12.33%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.67%EV -12.07%E -5.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.67%E -6.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 17:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%0.3%2026-08-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%0.3%2026-08-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%0.5%2026-08-16 17:50
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%1.1%2026-08-16 17:55