Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarmiento de Junin v Atlético Huracán

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 18:00 UTC

Score final : Sarmiento de Junin 2–0 Atlético Huracán

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarmiento de Junin (Local)

Prévision 29.72%3.36cote équitable
EV +0.151%
Avantage +0.045%
Kelly +0.064%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.68%29.87%29.71%32.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.093.103.3737.04%32.40%32.26%29.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.10%2.70cote équitable
EV +0.168%
Avantage +0.062%
Kelly +0.099%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.40%37.05%37.09%38.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.502.7043.48%39.81%40.00%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 33.18%3.01cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.602%
Kelly -0.908%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.13%33.07%33.20%34.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.812.802.9638.02%35.59%35.71%33.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sarmiento de Junin (Local) : 29.72% ; Atlético Huracán (Visiteur) : 37.10% ; Match nul : 33.18%. Pour Atlético Huracán (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.695. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.700, soit une espérance positive de +0.168%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV +0.168%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:55
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV +0.168%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.30%E -5.37%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -1.69%E -0.636%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 17:40
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 17:15
Pinnacle🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.44%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.39%EV -3.91%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.17%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 17:55
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.36%EV -2.82%E -0.863%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:50
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:40
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:49
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:49
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:50
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:49
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -18.27%E -6.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -18.27%E -6.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -19.76%E -7.32%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.40%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.28%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -6.14%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:45
BetAnything🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:50
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 17:39
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:49
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:44
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 17:49
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 17:55
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 17:54
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 17:50
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -12.33%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.67%EV -12.07%E -5.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.67%E -6.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%0.3%2026-08-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%0.3%2026-08-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%0.5%2026-08-16 17:50
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%1.1%2026-08-16 17:55