StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sarmiento de Junin v Atlético Huracán

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 18:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Sarmiento de Junin 2–0 Atlético Huracán

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sarmiento de Junin (Hemma)

Prognos 29.72%3.36rättvist odds
EV +0.151%
Fördel +0.045%
Kelly +0.064%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.37

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.68%29.87%29.71%32.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.703.093.103.3737.04%32.40%32.26%29.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Borta)

Prognos 37.10%2.70rättvist odds
EV +0.168%
Fördel +0.062%
Kelly +0.099%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.40%37.05%37.09%38.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.512.502.7043.48%39.81%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 33.18%3.01rättvist odds
EV -1.78%
Fördel -0.602%
Kelly -0.908%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.96

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.13%33.07%33.20%34.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.632.812.802.9638.02%35.59%35.71%33.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sarmiento de Junin (Hemma): 29.72%; Atlético Huracán (Borta): 37.10%; Oavgjort: 33.18%. För Atlético Huracán (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.695. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.700, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.168%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV +0.168%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:55
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV +0.168%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.30%E -5.37%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -1.69%E -0.636%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 17:40
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 17:15
Pinnacle🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.44%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.39%EV -3.91%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.17%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 17:55
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.36%EV -2.82%E -0.863%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:50
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:40
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:49
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:49
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:50
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:49
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -18.27%E -6.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -18.27%E -6.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -19.76%E -7.32%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.40%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.28%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -6.14%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:45
BetAnything🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:50
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 17:39
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:49
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:44
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 17:49
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 17:55
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 17:54
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 17:50
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -12.33%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.67%EV -12.07%E -5.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.67%E -6.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 17:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%0.3%2026-08-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%0.3%2026-08-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%0.5%2026-08-16 17:50
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%1.1%2026-08-16 17:55