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Sarmiento de Junin v Atlético Huracán
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Predicción 29.72%3.36momio equitativo
EV +0.151%
Ventaja +0.045%
Kelly +0.064%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.68%29.87%29.71%32.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.703.093.103.3737.04%32.40%32.26%29.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlético Huracán (Visitante)
Predicción 37.10%2.70momio equitativo
EV +0.168%
Ventaja +0.062%
Kelly +0.099%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.40%37.05%37.09%38.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.7043.48%39.81%40.00%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.18%3.01momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.602%
Kelly -0.908%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.13%33.07%33.20%34.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.812.802.9638.02%35.59%35.71%33.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sarmiento de Junin (Local): 29.72%; Atlético Huracán (Visitante): 37.10%; Empate: 33.18%. Para Atlético Huracán (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.695. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.700, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.168%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV +0.168%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV +0.168%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.30%E -5.37%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -1.69%E -0.636%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.44%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.39%EV -3.91%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.17%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.36%EV -2.82%E -0.863%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -18.27%E -6.65%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -18.27%E -6.65%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -19.76%E -7.32%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.40%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.28%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -6.14%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV +0.151%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -1.78%E -0.602%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -12.33%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.67%EV -12.07%E -5.09%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.67%E -6.38%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |