Language:English
San Lorenzo v Talleres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Lorenzo (Local)
Prediction 39.81%2.51fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.81%39.89%39.73%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.352.4247.62%43.04%42.55%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Talleres (Visit)
Prediction 28.73%3.48fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -0.968%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.62%28.78%29.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.20%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.46%3.18fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%31.49%31.50%32.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.05%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Lorenzo (Local): 39.81%; Talleres (Visit): 28.73%; Draw: 31.46%. For Talleres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -4.91%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.47%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 02:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.71%EV -4.86%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.53%EV -5.30%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 06:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 04:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 22:02 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -6.92%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 02:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.30%EV -6.85%E -2.93%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.18%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 04:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.39%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 04:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -9.24%E -4.05%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -9.24%E -4.05%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.39%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.94%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.72%EV -12.85%E -4.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-03 22:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.08%EV -13.62%E -6.27%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.50%EV -10.96%E -3.87%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-03 22:02 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -16.40%E -7.81%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -11.90%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |