Idioma:Español
San Lorenzo v Talleres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Lorenzo (Local)
Predicción 39.81%2.51momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.81%39.89%39.73%41.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.352.4247.62%43.04%42.55%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Talleres (Visitante)
Predicción 28.73%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.683%
Kelly -0.968%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.62%28.78%29.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.20%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.46%3.18momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.795%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.15%31.49%31.50%32.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.05%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Lorenzo (Local): 39.81%; Talleres (Visitante): 28.73%; Empate: 31.46%. Para Talleres (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.48. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.40, con un valor esperado de -2.32%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -4.91%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.47%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 02:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.71%EV -4.86%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.53%EV -5.30%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 06:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 04:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 22:02 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -6.92%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 02:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.30%EV -6.85%E -2.93%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.18%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 04:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.39%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 04:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -9.24%E -4.05%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -9.24%E -4.05%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.39%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.94%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.72%EV -12.85%E -4.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-03 22:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.08%EV -13.62%E -6.27%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.50%EV -10.96%E -3.87%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-03 22:02 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -16.40%E -7.81%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -11.90%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |