StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

San Lorenzo v Talleres

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: San Lorenzo 1–0 Talleres

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

San Lorenzo (Hemma)

Prognos 39.81%2.51rättvist odds
EV -3.66%
Fördel -1.51%
Kelly -2.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.81%39.89%39.73%41.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.322.352.4247.62%43.04%42.55%41.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Talleres (Borta)

Prognos 28.73%3.48rättvist odds
EV -2.32%
Fördel -0.683%
Kelly -0.968%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.27%28.62%28.78%29.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.20%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.46%3.18rättvist odds
EV -2.46%
Fördel -0.795%
Kelly -1.17%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.15%31.49%31.50%32.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.05%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: San Lorenzo (Hemma): 39.81%; Talleres (Borta): 28.73%; Oavgjort: 31.46%. För Talleres (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.48. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.40, med väntevärdet -2.32%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:44
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -4.91%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.47%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 09:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 09:25
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 13:15
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 02:54
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 02:55
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.71%EV -4.86%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.53%EV -5.30%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:45
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 06:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 06:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 19:55
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 04:55
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 22:02
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:13
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -6.92%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 17:45
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 09:10
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 02:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.30%EV -6.85%E -2.93%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.18%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:15
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:15
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 22:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 04:50
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 08:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.39%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 08:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 04:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -9.24%E -4.05%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -9.24%E -4.05%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 02:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.39%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-02 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-04 02:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.94%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.72%EV -12.85%E -4.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.08%EV -13.62%E -6.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.50%EV -10.96%E -3.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-03 22:02
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -16.40%E -7.81%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -11.90%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-01 22:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51%3.2%2026-09-04 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51%3.2%2026-09-04 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51%3.2%2026-09-04 12:45
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 38.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%5.0%2026-09-04 12:35