Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Lorenzo v Talleres

Inizio: 2026-09-05 22:00 UTC

Finale: San Lorenzo 1–0 Talleres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Lorenzo (Casa)

Previsione 39.81%2.51quota equa
EV -3.66%
Vantaggio -1.51%
Kelly -2.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.81%39.89%39.73%41.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.322.352.4247.62%43.04%42.55%41.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Talleres (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.73%3.48quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -0.683%
Kelly -0.968%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.27%28.62%28.78%29.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.20%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.46%3.18quota equa
EV -2.46%
Vantaggio -0.795%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.15%31.49%31.50%32.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.05%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: San Lorenzo (Casa): 39.81%; Talleres (Trasferta): 28.73%; Pareggio: 31.46%. Per Talleres (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.48. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.40, con un valore atteso del -2.32%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:44
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -4.91%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.47%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 09:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 09:25
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 13:15
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 02:54
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 02:55
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.71%EV -4.86%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.53%EV -5.30%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:45
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 06:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 06:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 19:55
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 04:55
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 22:02
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:13
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -6.92%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 17:45
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 09:10
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 02:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.30%EV -6.85%E -2.93%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.18%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:15
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:15
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 22:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 04:50
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 08:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.39%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 08:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 04:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -9.24%E -4.05%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -9.24%E -4.05%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 02:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.39%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-02 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-04 02:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.94%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.72%EV -12.85%E -4.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.08%EV -13.62%E -6.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.50%EV -10.96%E -3.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-03 22:02
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -16.40%E -7.81%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -11.90%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-01 22:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51%3.2%2026-09-04 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51%3.2%2026-09-04 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51%3.2%2026-09-04 12:45
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 38.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%5.0%2026-09-04 12:35