语言:简体中文
San Lorenzo v Talleres
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
San Lorenzo (主队)
预测 39.81%2.51公平赔率
EV -3.66%
优势 -1.51%
Kelly -2.58%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.42
博彩公司预测分布
38.81%39.89%39.73%41.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.322.352.4247.62%43.04%42.55%41.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
Talleres (客队)
预测 28.73%3.48公平赔率
EV -2.32%
优势 -0.683%
Kelly -0.968%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.27%28.62%28.78%29.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.20%31.25%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.46%3.18公平赔率
EV -2.46%
优势 -0.795%
Kelly -1.17%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.15%31.49%31.50%32.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.05%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：San Lorenzo (主队)：39.81%；Talleres (客队)：28.73%；平局：31.46%。 对于“Talleres (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.48。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.40，期望值为-2.32%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -4.91%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.47%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 02:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.71%EV -4.86%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.53%EV -5.30%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 06:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 04:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 22:02 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -6.92%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 02:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.30%EV -6.85%E -2.93%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.18%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.46%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 04:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.39%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 04:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -9.24%E -4.05%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -9.24%E -4.05%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.39%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-04 02:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.94%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.72%EV -12.85%E -4.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-03 22:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.08%EV -13.62%E -6.27%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.50%EV -10.96%E -3.87%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-03 22:02 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -16.40%E -7.81%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -11.90%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-01 22:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |