Language:English
San Lorenzo v Gimnasia Mendoza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Lorenzo (Local)
Prediction 47.93%2.09fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.55%48.16%47.76%50.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.931.942.0255.87%51.94%51.41%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit)
Prediction 22.03%4.54fair odd
EV +3.55%
Edge +0.755%
Kelly +0.959%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.94%21.91%22.17%23.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.264.204.7025.97%23.45%23.81%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.04%3.33fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.67%29.94%30.06%31.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2834.48%32.38%32.26%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Lorenzo (Local): 47.93%; Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit): 22.03%; Draw: 30.04%. For Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +3.55%E +0.755%K +0.959%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +3.55%E +0.755%K +0.959%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +3.55%E +0.755%K +0.959%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.84%EV +2.01%E +0.433%K +0.552%G +0.011% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.42%EV -1.46%E -0.445%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.97%EV +1.56%E +0.339%K +0.433%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.97%EV +1.56%E +0.339%K +0.433%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.97%EV +1.56%E +0.339%K +0.433%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.25%E -7.32%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.25%E -7.32%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.14%EV -14.21%E -7.94%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.26%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -6.27%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.99%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.99%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.55%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.10%EV -10.77%E -3.63%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 21:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.98%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.07%EV -12.28%E -4.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.98%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.39%EV -8.94%E -4.71%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.25%EV -8.94%E -4.71%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -15.18%E -3.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.5% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |