San Lorenzo v Gimnasia Mendoza

2026-07-29 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

43%

24%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Lorenzo (Local)

Prediction 43.44%2.30fair odd

EV -6.60%

Edge -3.07%

Kelly -5.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.33%43.44%43.40%43.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.942.072.102.1552%48%48%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit)

Prediction 24.32%4.11fair odd

EV -6.38%

Edge -1.66%

Kelly -2.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.92%24.32%24.43%25.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.353.643.603.8530%28%28%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.24%3.10fair odd

EV -6.50%

Edge -2.24%

Kelly -3.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.64%32.24%32.18%32.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.652.792.802.9038%36%36%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Marathon Bet	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%	3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -7.11%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-17 17:49
SportsBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-17 16:59
FanDuel	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-17 16:57
Codere (IT)	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.90%E -3.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-17 16:54
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.98%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.46%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-07-17 16:58
Sky Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -10.95%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -17.33%E -5.10%K -7.22%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%	15.2%	2026-07-17 16:59
Winamax (DE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.12%E -6.56%K -13.12%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -14.89%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-07-17 16:54
Betclic (FR)	1.96I 51.02%NM 43.94%EV -14.85%E -7.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -12.46%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31%NM 32.14%EV -13.59%E -5.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-07-17 16:54
Winamax (FR)	1.94I 51.55%NM 43.27%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.73%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.06%EV -18.54%E -5.53%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 31.68%EV -14.56%E -5.49%K -8.82%G +0.000%	19.1%	2026-07-17 16:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.