语言:简体中文
San Lorenzo v Gimnasia Mendoza
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
San Lorenzo (主队)
预测 47.93%2.09公平赔率
EV -3.19%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -3.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.02
博彩公司预测分布
46.55%48.16%47.76%50.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.791.931.942.0255.87%51.94%51.41%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Gimnasia Mendoza (客队)
预测 22.03%4.54公平赔率
EV +3.55%
优势 +0.755%
Kelly +0.959%
增长率 +0.034%
假设最高赔率为 4.70
博彩公司预测分布
19.94%21.91%22.17%23.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.264.204.7025.97%23.45%23.81%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.04%3.33公平赔率
EV -1.46%
优势 -0.445%
Kelly -0.641%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.28
博彩公司预测分布
28.67%29.94%30.06%31.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.093.103.2834.48%32.38%32.26%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：San Lorenzo (主队)：47.93%；Gimnasia Mendoza (客队)：22.03%；平局：30.04%。 对于“Gimnasia Mendoza (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.54。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.70，对应+3.55%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +3.55%E +0.755%K +0.959%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +3.55%E +0.755%K +0.959%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +3.55%E +0.755%K +0.959%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.84%EV +2.01%E +0.433%K +0.552%G +0.011% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.42%EV -1.46%E -0.445%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.97%EV +1.56%E +0.339%K +0.433%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.97%EV +1.56%E +0.339%K +0.433%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.97%EV +1.56%E +0.339%K +0.433%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.25%E -7.32%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.25%E -7.32%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.14%EV -14.21%E -7.94%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.26%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -6.27%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.99%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.99%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.55%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.10%EV -10.77%E -3.63%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 21:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.98%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.07%EV -12.28%E -4.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.98%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.39%EV -8.94%E -4.71%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.25%EV -8.94%E -4.71%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -15.18%E -3.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.5% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |