L’École des cotes

San Lorenzo v Gimnasia Mendoza

2026-07-28 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Lorenzo (Local)

Prévision 44.90%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.559%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.91%45.11%44.84%47.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.062.052.2052.08%48.62%48.78%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.08%4.33cote équitable
EV +4.08%
Avantage +0.904%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 4.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.07%22.90%23.13%24.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.994.004.5128.17%25.08%25.00%22.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.03%3.12cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.74%31.99%32.03%33.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.65%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.27%EV -9.76%E -4.86%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.07%EV +4.08%E +0.904%K +1.16%G +0.047%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:50
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.769%E -0.179%K -0.233%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 01:05
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.45%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.08%E -0.733%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 01:14
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 01:55
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 01:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 01:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 00:49
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.96%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 00:45
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.50%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:50
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 00:59
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -7.96%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 00:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.96%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 00:49
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.96%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 00:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 00:54
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.79%EV -2.13%E -0.976%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.04%EV -4.56%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 01:49
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.79%EV -2.13%E -0.976%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.04%EV -4.56%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 01:49
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -9.31%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 01:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -9.31%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.91%EV -1.23%E -0.559%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.89%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 07:50
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 07:20
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -7.96%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 01:55
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -13.80%E -7.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.72%EV -11.28%E -4.07%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 01:34
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -11.56%E -5.87%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.21%EV -12.77%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.26%EV -12.88%E -4.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 00:53
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.46%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 00:49
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.46%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 00:59
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 43.90%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.24%EV -18.08%E -5.09%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-26 00:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 43.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%2.66I 37.59%NM 32.55%15.5%2026-07-26 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.01I 99.01%NM 41.95%136.0%2026-07-26 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.01I 99.01%NM 41.95%136.0%2026-07-26 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.01I 99.01%NM 41.95%136.0%2026-07-26 01:30