Langue:Français
San Lorenzo v Gimnasia Mendoza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
San Lorenzo (Local)
Prévision 47.93%2.09cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -3.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.55%48.16%47.76%50.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.791.931.942.0255.87%51.94%51.41%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.03%4.54cote équitable
EV +3.55%
Avantage +0.755%
Kelly +0.959%
Croissance +0.034%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.94%21.91%22.17%23.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.264.204.7025.97%23.45%23.81%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.04%3.33cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.445%
Kelly -0.641%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.67%29.94%30.06%31.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.093.103.2834.48%32.38%32.26%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Lorenzo (Local) : 47.93% ; Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur) : 22.03% ; Match nul : 30.04%. Pour Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.54. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +3.55%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +3.55%E +0.755%K +0.959%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +3.55%E +0.755%K +0.959%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +3.55%E +0.755%K +0.959%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.84%EV +2.01%E +0.433%K +0.552%G +0.011% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.42%EV -1.46%E -0.445%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.97%EV +1.56%E +0.339%K +0.433%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.97%EV +1.56%E +0.339%K +0.433%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.97%EV +1.56%E +0.339%K +0.433%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.25%E -7.32%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.25%E -7.32%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.14%EV -14.21%E -7.94%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -0.859%E -0.191%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.26%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -6.27%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.99%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.99%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.55%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.10%EV -10.77%E -3.63%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 21:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.98%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.07%EV -12.28%E -4.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.98%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.39%EV -8.94%E -4.71%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.25%EV -8.94%E -4.71%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -15.18%E -3.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.5% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |