A Escola das Odds

San Lorenzo v Gimnasia Mendoza

2026-07-28 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Frente a frente

30 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

San Lorenzo (Local)

Previsão 44.90%2.23odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.559%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.91%45.11%44.84%47.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.922.062.052.2052.08%48.62%48.78%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visitante)

Previsão 23.08%4.33odd justa
EV +4.08%
Vantagem +0.904%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescimento +0.047%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.07%22.90%23.13%24.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.553.994.004.5128.17%25.08%25.00%22.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.03%3.12odd justa
EV -3.92%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.74%31.99%32.03%33.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.65%34.48%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (30 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.27%EV -9.76%E -4.86%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.07%EV +4.08%E +0.904%K +1.16%G +0.047%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:50
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.769%E -0.179%K -0.233%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 01:05
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.45%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.08%E -0.733%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 01:14
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 01:55
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 01:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 01:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 00:49
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.96%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 00:45
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.50%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:50
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 00:59
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -7.96%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 00:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.96%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 00:49
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.96%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 00:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 00:54
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.79%EV -2.13%E -0.976%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.04%EV -4.56%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 01:49
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.79%EV -2.13%E -0.976%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.04%EV -4.56%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 01:49
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -9.31%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 01:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -9.31%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.91%EV -1.23%E -0.559%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.89%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 07:50
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 07:20
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -7.96%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 01:55
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -13.80%E -7.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.72%EV -11.28%E -4.07%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 01:34
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -11.56%E -5.87%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.21%EV -12.77%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.26%EV -12.88%E -4.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 00:53
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.46%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 00:49
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.46%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 00:59
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 43.90%EV -12.01%E -6.13%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.24%EV -18.08%E -5.09%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-26 00:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 43.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%2.66I 37.59%NM 32.55%15.5%2026-07-26 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.01I 99.01%NM 41.95%136.0%2026-07-26 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.01I 99.01%NM 41.95%136.0%2026-07-26 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 29.02%1.01I 99.01%NM 41.95%136.0%2026-07-26 01:30