La scuola delle quote

San Lorenzo v Gimnasia Mendoza

2026-07-28 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

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34 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

San Lorenzo (Casa)

Previsione 46.65%2.14quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -0.972%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.90%46.54%46.69%47.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.002.002.1053.19%50.10%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gimnasia Mendoza (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.53%4.64quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -0.445%
Kelly -0.570%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.83%21.68%21.49%23.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.194.204.5525.97%23.84%23.81%21.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.82%3.14quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -0.967%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.74%31.78%31.82%32.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.922.923.0536.36%34.26%34.19%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -2.04%E -0.972%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -11.71%E -2.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 01:55
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -2.04%E -0.972%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -11.71%E -2.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 01:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -2.04%E -0.972%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -11.71%E -2.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 01:55
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%EV -2.97%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -8.48%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.91%EV -5.18%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 09:00
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%EV -2.97%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -8.48%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.91%EV -5.18%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 04:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV -6.76%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 05:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.87%E -3.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 00:49
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.94%E -3.78%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 01:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.94%E -3.78%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 01:55
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.35%EV -6.24%E -3.10%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.445%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 02:59
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.35%EV -6.24%E -3.10%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.445%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 02:59
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.27%EV -6.24%E -3.10%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.07%EV -2.89%E -0.640%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:50
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.51%EV -6.24%E -3.10%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.25%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 02:59
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.25%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 06:44
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -3.10%E -0.689%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 02:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.56%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 07:14
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.41%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 06:49
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.25%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 02:55
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -6.33%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.09%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:54
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.56%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 06:24
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.87%E -3.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.02%E -4.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 01:55
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.15%EV -7.17%E -3.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.48%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 07:14
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.17%E -3.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.76%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 02:40
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%EV -7.64%E -3.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -11.71%E -2.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 07:15
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.04%E -4.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 07:14
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.04%E -4.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 01:14
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.04%E -4.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.76%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -9.04%E -4.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.87%E -3.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 07:15
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.43%EV -10.44%E -5.44%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -13.87%E -3.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 02:54
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.45%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -16.02%E -4.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 07:14
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.79%EV -12.30%E -6.54%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.71%E -2.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.76%EV -11.86%E -4.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 02:59
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.56%EV -12.30%E -6.54%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.61%EV -12.79%E -3.16%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.83%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-26 02:58
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.04%EV -12.30%E -6.54%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.48%EV -17.10%E -4.44%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.48%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-26 02:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%7.5%2026-07-26 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.41%10.5%2026-07-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.80%2.56I 39.06%NM 34.93%11.8%2026-07-26 09:20
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 45.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%2.66I 37.59%NM 33.01%13.9%2026-07-26 09:20