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Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rosario Central (Local)
Prediction 60.71%1.65fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -7.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.48%60.99%60.76%63.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.511.521.5870.92%66.05%65.79%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)
Prediction 13.81%7.24fair odd
EV +17.41%
Edge +2.05%
Kelly +2.32%
Growth +0.404%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.27%13.61%13.76%15.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.966.908.5016.95%14.36%14.49%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.48%3.92fair odd
EV -0.635%
Edge -0.163%
Kelly -0.219%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.26%25.40%25.48%26.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.673.9029.41%27.40%27.21%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 60.71%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 13.81%; Draw: 25.48%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.24. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.41%E +2.05%K +2.32%G +0.404% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -1.91%E -0.496%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.41%E +2.05%K +2.32%G +0.404% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -1.91%E -0.496%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.92%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +10.50%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.158% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -0.635%E -0.163%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV +10.50%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.158% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55%EV -10.76%E -7.32%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.60%E +0.480%K +0.553%G +0.020% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.32I 13.66%NM 13.14%EV +1.11%E +0.152%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.58%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.44%EV -2.34%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.81%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.38%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.00%EV -7.72%E -5.08%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.06%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -13.79%E -9.71%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -13.79%E -9.71%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.11%EV -14.40%E -10.21%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.51%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.83%EV -4.69%E -0.680%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.83%EV -4.69%E -0.680%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -6.07%E -0.893%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.77%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.52%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.30%EV -8.84%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -8.33%E -5.52%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.97%E -8.26%K -26.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.21%EV -11.37%E -7.78%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.60%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.09%EV -9.54%E -6.41%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -13.67%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -13.67%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.72%E -5.08%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.12%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.22%EV -18.50%E -3.14%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.85% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.72% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
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