Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Inizio: 2026-08-07 22:30 UTC

Finale: Rosario Central 2–1 Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rosario Central (Casa)

Previsione 60.71%1.65quota equa
EV -4.08%
Vantaggio -2.58%
Kelly -7.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.48%60.99%60.76%63.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.511.521.5870.92%66.05%65.79%63.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.81%7.24quota equa
EV +17.41%
Vantaggio +2.05%
Kelly +2.32%
Crescita +0.404%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.27%13.61%13.76%15.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.906.966.908.5016.95%14.36%14.49%11.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.48%3.92quota equa
EV -0.635%
Vantaggio -0.163%
Kelly -0.219%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.26%25.40%25.48%26.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.653.673.9029.41%27.40%27.21%25.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rosario Central (Casa): 60.71%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Trasferta): 13.81%; Pareggio: 25.48%. Per Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.24. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +17.41%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.41%E +2.05%K +2.32%G +0.404%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -1.91%E -0.496%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.41%E +2.05%K +2.32%G +0.404%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -1.91%E -0.496%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.92%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +10.50%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.158%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -0.635%E -0.163%K -0.219%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 20:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV +10.50%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.158%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55%EV -10.76%E -7.32%K -22.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.60%E +0.480%K +0.553%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.14%EV +1.11%E +0.152%K +0.176%G +0.002%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.58%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 22:05
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.44%EV -2.34%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.81%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.38%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.00%EV -7.72%E -5.08%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 21:45
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.06%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -13.79%E -9.71%K -32.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -13.79%E -9.71%K -32.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.11%EV -14.40%E -10.21%K -35.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.51%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-07 22:10
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.83%EV -4.69%E -0.680%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.83%EV -4.69%E -0.680%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -6.07%E -0.893%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.77%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.52%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.30%EV -8.84%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 22:00
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 22:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -8.33%E -5.52%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.97%E -8.26%K -26.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.21%EV -11.37%E -7.78%K -24.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.60%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.09%EV -9.54%E -6.41%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -13.67%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 22:04
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -13.67%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.72%E -5.08%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.12%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.22%EV -18.50%E -3.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 22:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.85%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-08-07 22:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.72%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-08-07 22:10